risk of digital currency, Featured snippets

Analyst Curran: There are almost no surprises in today's CPI data. The housing index rose by 0.3% in November, accounting for nearly 40% of the monthly increase in all projects.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.Polish and Estonian Prime Ministers held talks to discuss regional security and other issues. Polish Prime Minister Tusk met with Estonian Prime Minister michal in Warsaw on December 11th, local time. The two countries discussed the issues of aid to Ukraine, regional security and cooperation, and Poland's taking over the rotating presidency of the European Union. Michal pointed out at a news conference that it is necessary for NATO member countries to spend more than 2.5% of their gross domestic product (GDP) on defense, and Estonia has already exceeded 2% of GDP in 2022. Michal pointed out that NATO countries are still lacking in air defense and ammunition production capacity, which must be solved quickly. Tusk said that he shared the same attitude with michal on regional security and aid to Ukraine, and he hoped that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine could be ended in a way acceptable to all. (CCTV News)

MetLife and General Atlantic are planning to form a reinsurance joint venture. It is reported that MetLife and General Atlantic are forming a reinsurance joint venture, which is the latest trend that insurance companies and alternative fund management companies jointly improve the return on low-risk insurance assets. Chariot Reinsurance, the joint venture, will have an initial equity of more than $1 billion, with MetLife and General Atlantic Insurance each holding about 15%. In addition, the insurance company Chubb will also become one of the major investors in the joint venture. The joint venture will be established in the first half of 2025, led by Cynthia Smith, who recently served as the head of the regional welfare business of Metropolitan Insurance Group.COSCO Shipping once again won the bid for Qatar Energy Project. On December 11th, according to the official news of COSCO Shipping, the awarding ceremony of six QC-MAX 271,000-square-meter super-large LNG carriers for Qatar Energy Project was held at the Doha headquarters of Qatar Energy Company. Shanghai COSCO Shipping LNG, a subsidiary of COSCO Shipping Energy, and Mitsui, a merchant ship, jointly won the bid. Previously, in 2022, the two parties jointly won the bid for seven 174,000-square-meter LNG carriers of the project for the first time.The core inflation in the United States remained stable, increasing by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month, and the CPI in the United States continued to rise in November, which aggravated people's concerns that the process of curbing inflation was stagnant. Data released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI excluding food and energy costs rose by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. Compared with a year ago, it has increased by 3.3%. After the data is released, it is still very likely that Fed policymakers will cut interest rates at next week's meeting. Although the price pressure has dropped from the peak during the pandemic recovery, the recent progress has stabilized. This, coupled with the fading concerns about the labor market, helps explain why several Fed officials advocate a more gradual rate cut.

Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index futures continued their pre-market gains after the data was released.Institution: The global rapeseed production reduction made the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supported the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Chaotic Tiancheng Futures said that the excessive rapeseed import in the fourth quarter had supply pressure, the demand side was in the traditional consumption peak season and the low price difference between soybean oil and vegetable oil was conducive to vegetable oil consumption, which had short-term bottom support for vegetable oil. In the long run, the global rapeseed production reduction makes the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supports the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Nanhua futures believes that, on the whole, the supply sources and channels of vegetable oil are gradually weakened by the restrictions on rapeseed imports. At present, due to the excellent cost performance of soybean oil at the consumer end, vegetable oil will not consider the extra increment caused by the market competition between oils and fats except the seasonal increase in consumption in the short term. However, since the subsequent inventory of vegetable oil is still fluctuating at a high level, considering the possibility of seeking demand from the competitive price of soybean oil, there will be a clear reverse correlation between the subsequent inventory and consumption of vegetable oil, while the supply consideration is relatively constant and inflexible.